CELPIP Speaking Task 4 Template: Making Predictions

Цель

Посмотрите на ту же картинку, что и в Task 3, и предположите, что произойдёт дальше, опираясь на то, что Вы видите, — за 60 секунд. На подготовку у Вас есть 30 секунд. В этом задании важно показать, что Вы умеете пользоваться будущими временами и условными конструкциями.

На что смотрит эксперт

Пример задания

На каждом шаге мы возвращаемся к одному и тому же заданию, чтобы Вы увидели, как один сценарий проходит через весь шаблон.

Задание: Look at the picture (same as Task 3) of a farmers’ market. Predict what will happen next.

Шаг 1. Вступление — кратко напомните сцену и введите прогнозы

Цель: Коротко напомните сцену, которую Вы описывали в Task 3, и обозначьте, что сейчас будете делать прогнозы. Около 10–15 секунд.

Грамматический приём: Present Continuous vs. Present Simple для описания сцены

Шаблон

• Напоминание сцены: Looking at this picture, I can see [brief recap of the key situation].
• Переход к прогнозам: Based on what’s happening, I think several things will happen next.

Пример: Looking at this picture, I can see a busy farmers’ market with a woman selecting tomatoes, an elderly man selling bread, and children running around. It looks like a popular weekend morning market. Based on what I see, I think several things will happen next.

Шаг 2. Основные прогнозы — что произойдёт дальше

Цель: Сделайте три конкретных прогноза о том, что произойдёт, используя разные формы будущего. Это основа ответа — около 35–40 секунд.

Грамматический приём: иерархия форм будущего времени

Покажите диапазон грамматики — используйте разные конструкции будущего для каждого прогноза:

Грамматический приём: First Conditional для причинно-следственных прогнозов

Формула: If + Present Simple, … will / might / should + Base Verb

Используйте эту конструкцию, чтобы объяснить, почему Вы считаете, что что-то произойдёт:

Примеры:

• If the weather stays warm, more shoppers will arrive later in the morning.
• If the children keep running around, they might knock over a display.
• If the vendors sell out quickly, they will probably pack up early.

Шаблон

• Прогноз 1 (уверенный): I believe that [person] will [action]. [Reason/evidence from the picture].
• Прогноз 2 (вероятный): [Person] is probably going to [action] because [reason].
• Прогноз 3 (возможный): [Person] might also [action]. If [condition], [result].

Пример: First of all, I believe the woman in the straw hat will buy a large bag of fresh tomatoes. Since she is carefully selecting them from the crate, she is probably going to choose the ripest ones and fill her canvas bag with them.

Secondly, the market is likely to become even more crowded as the morning goes on, because it seems to be a very popular event. If more people arrive, the vendors will probably sell out of their most popular items, like the fresh bread and baguettes.

Finally, the two children running between the stalls might get hungry soon. If they stop running around, they may ask their parents to buy them something to eat from one of the food stalls.

Шаг 3. Завершение — финальная мысль или общий прогноз

Цель: Подведите итог общим прогнозом о результате. Около 5–10 секунд.

Грамматический приём: Future Perfect для завершённости к определённому моменту

Формула: Subject + will have + Past Participle (V3)

Используйте это время, чтобы предсказать, что будет завершено к определённому моменту:

Примеры:

• By the end of the morning, the vendors will have sold most of their fresh produce.
• By noon, every customer will have found something to take home.
• By the time the market closes, the musician will have entertained the entire crowd.

Шаблон

• Общий итог: Overall, I think [person] will [final outcome].
• Future Perfect (по желанию): By [time], they will have [completed action].
• Позитивная нота: [Optimistic closing thought].

Пример: Overall, I think this farmers’ market will have a very successful day. By the end of the morning, the vendors will have sold most of their fresh produce and everyone will have enjoyed a wonderful weekend outing.

Образец ответа (балл 9+)

Соберём всё воедино — вот полный размеченный ответ на пример задания из начала шаблона:

Present Continuous Looking at this picture, I can see a busy farmers’ market on a sunny day with lots of people shopping and enjoying themselves. Detail A woman is selecting tomatoes, an elderly man is selling bread, and children are running between the stalls. Transition Based on what I see, I think several things will happen next.

Prediction 1: will + verb (High Certainty) First of all, I believe the woman in the straw hat will buy a large bag of fresh tomatoes. be going to (Planned Action) Since she is carefully selecting them from the crate, she is probably going to choose the ripest ones and fill her canvas bag.

Prediction 2: be likely to (Probable) Secondly, the market is likely to become even more crowded as the morning goes on, because it seems to be a very popular event. 1st Conditional If more people arrive, the vendors will probably sell out of their most popular items, like the fresh bread.

Prediction 3: might (Possible) Finally, the two children running around might get hungry soon. 1st Conditional If they stop playing, they may ask their parents to buy them something to eat.

Future Perfect Overall, I think by the end of the morning, the vendors will have sold most of their fresh produce and everyone will have enjoyed a wonderful day out.

Краткий справочник слов-связок

Универсальные подборки фраз

Обращение к сцене

Прогнозы по уровню уверенности

Обоснование прогнозов

Завершение — общий итог