CELPIP Speaking Task 4 Template: Making Predictions

目标

看着与 Task 3 相同的图片，在 60 秒内根据图中的线索预测接下来会发生什么。准备时间为 30 秒。本题重点考察您能否使用未来时态和条件推理。

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题目示例

下面每一步都使用同一个题目，这样您可以看到一个完整的情境如何贯穿整个模板。

题目： Look at the picture (same as Task 3) of a farmers’ market. Predict what will happen next.

第 1 步：开头——简要回顾并预告预测

目标： 简要提及 Task 3 中描述过的场景，然后表明您接下来要做预测。大约 10–15 秒。

语法要点：Present Continuous 与 Present Simple 用于提及画面

模板

• 提及画面： Looking at this picture, I can see [brief recap of the key situation].
• 过渡到预测： Based on what’s happening, I think several things will happen next.

示例： Looking at this picture, I can see a busy farmers’ market with a woman selecting tomatoes, an elderly man selling bread, and children running around. It looks like a popular weekend morning market. Based on what I see, I think several things will happen next.

第 2 步：主要预测——接下来会发生什么

目标： 用不同的未来结构做出三条具体预测。这是核心部分，约 35–40 秒。

语法要点：未来时态的层级

每条预测使用不同的未来结构，展现语法的丰富度：

语法要点：用 First Conditional 表达因果预测

公式： If + Present Simple, … will / might / should + Base Verb

用它来说明为什么您认为某件事会发生：

示例：

• If the weather stays warm, more shoppers will arrive later in the morning.
• If the children keep running around, they might knock over a display.
• If the vendors sell out quickly, they will probably pack up early.

模板

• 预测 1（确定）： I believe that [person] will [action]. [Reason/evidence from the picture].
• 预测 2（可能）： [Person] is probably going to [action] because [reason].
• 预测 3（或许）： [Person] might also [action]. If [condition], [result].

示例： First of all, I believe the woman in the straw hat will buy a large bag of fresh tomatoes. Since she is carefully selecting them from the crate, she is probably going to choose the ripest ones and fill her canvas bag with them.

Secondly, the market is likely to become even more crowded as the morning goes on, because it seems to be a very popular event. If more people arrive, the vendors will probably sell out of their most popular items, like the fresh bread and baguettes.

Finally, the two children running between the stalls might get hungry soon. If they stop running around, they may ask their parents to buy them something to eat from one of the food stalls.

第 3 步：结尾——最后的感触或整体预测

目标： 用一句整体预测收尾。大约 5–10 秒。

语法要点：用 Future Perfect 表达到某时已完成

公式： Subject + will have + Past Participle (V3)

用它来预测到某个时间点已经完成的事情：

示例：

• By the end of the morning, the vendors will have sold most of their fresh produce.
• By noon, every customer will have found something to take home.
• By the time the market closes, the musician will have entertained the entire crowd.

模板

• 整体结局： Overall, I think [person] will [final outcome].
• Future Perfect（可选）： By [time], they will have [completed action].
• 积极收尾： [Optimistic closing thought].

示例： Overall, I think this farmers’ market will have a very successful day. By the end of the morning, the vendors will have sold most of their fresh produce and everyone will have enjoyed a wonderful weekend outing.

范文（9 分及以上）

综合运用上述所有步骤——下面是对本模板开头题目的完整带标注范文：

Present Continuous Looking at this picture, I can see a busy farmers’ market on a sunny day with lots of people shopping and enjoying themselves. Detail A woman is selecting tomatoes, an elderly man is selling bread, and children are running between the stalls. Transition Based on what I see, I think several things will happen next.

Prediction 1: will + verb (High Certainty) First of all, I believe the woman in the straw hat will buy a large bag of fresh tomatoes. be going to (Planned Action) Since she is carefully selecting them from the crate, she is probably going to choose the ripest ones and fill her canvas bag.

Prediction 2: be likely to (Probable) Secondly, the market is likely to become even more crowded as the morning goes on, because it seems to be a very popular event. 1st Conditional If more people arrive, the vendors will probably sell out of their most popular items, like the fresh bread.

Prediction 3: might (Possible) Finally, the two children running around might get hungry soon. 1st Conditional If they stop playing, they may ask their parents to buy them something to eat.

Future Perfect Overall, I think by the end of the morning, the vendors will have sold most of their fresh produce and everyone will have enjoyed a wonderful day out.

过渡词语速查

通用短语集

提及画面

按确定程度做出预测

为预测给出理由

结尾——整体结局